مجله راهبرد سیاسی
سال ششم شماره 3 (پیاپی 22، پاییز 1401)

The purpose of this paper is to provide a new model for using futures research in strategic topics. Futurism is a look with logical adaptation to the future from a specific perspective and a broad tool in the field of methodology to address future uncertainties. One of the most important methods of future research in elections and political participation is the script writing method. Examining the main contribution of scenarios to our future success goes back to our empowerment in turning uncertainty into a source of superiority and is essential. Given that each topic has a specific context and takes a specific path to develop a scenario, it seems necessary to provide a new model. This writing, as a basic writing, seeks to answer the question of predicting elections using futures research and scenario writing. In fact, it examines the use of script writing methods in elections and predicts the future for the space of political participation and elections.

The foreign policy of governments in the international system consists of a set of internal and external interests of the that international actors see in relation to other actors in the international environment based on their own assessment of national interests assessment reveals national interests under the framework of "opportunities" and "threats".Therefore, with the knowledge of this framework in foreign policy, this article seeks to assess the foreign policy of the Republic of Azerbaijan towards Israel based on the theory of new classical realism. The main question of the current research is, what are the opportunities and threats facing the Republic of Azerbaijan towards the direction of the foreign policy of the Republic of Azerbaijan towards Israel? The findings show that the foreign policy of the Republic of Azerbaijan towards Israel includes opportunities for balance of power, strengthening of the economic base, the development of military industries, the acquisition of new technologies, the strengthening of bargaining power against Iran and Armenia, and threats, including the blurring of relations with Iran, ,, the region has created an ideological contradiction for the republic.This research has been done by using descriptive-analytical method.

In political systems, the issue of education, reform and selection of government officials is considered one of the important issues. So that the stability and sustainability of any government system depends on paying attention to these things. Therefore, in the Islamic political system, especially in Shiite political thought, special attention has been paid to the educational and reform principles of government officials, which is clearly stated in the Nahj al-Balagha. The importance of the discussion becomes clear when the lack of attention to the issue of reforming and training government officials is considered one of the reasons for the destruction and degeneration of political systems. Therefore, the analysis of issues related to the education, selection and selection of government officials according to the political teachings of Nahj al Balaga can show the correct ways of implementing Islamic rules in the form of politicized systems and the efficiency and success of the political-Shia system. In this article, the educational and reform principles and the selection of government officials in the thoughts of Hazrat Ali and the criteria for the selection of statesmen and the methods of monitoring government officials will be examined in the form of a theoretical and qualitative study.

The Islamic Awakening and the beginning of the popular uprising that led to the overthrow of Mubarak marked the beginning of a new phase in Egyptian politics, which was expected to see the tyranny and dictatorship removed from the country forever and replaced by a democratic government based on a new political order. As president, the process of democratization continued, but in a short time, General al-Sisi arrested Morsi in a creeping coup and continued to seize power personally. What is the main question in this article is that; What have been the consequences of the uprising of the Egyptian people in 2011 so far? And which forces have influenced the process of democratization of the Egyptian people? The results of the investigation show that the pro-democracy uprising of the Egyptian people has failed with the intervention of the army and the removal of Mohamed Morsi from the presidency. The most important influential forces in the process of democratization of Egypt are: the army, the Muslim Brotherhood, secular nationalist parties and groups. The research method is qualitative, documentary and library, with the help of filing tools from Persian and English books and articles.

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the unipolar world with the hegemony of America, with the emergence of emerging powers, including China, has strengthened the idea of ​​transforming the international system from unipolar to multipolar. The problem of this research is that despite China's claim that the country's economic rise is peaceful, it does not convince the circles and American politicians. Therefore, this research, which is descriptive-analytical and collected with library documents, seeks to answer the question, what are the views and policies of the United States regarding China's economic rise? The findings of the research show that China's economic rise has been accompanied by economic policies. These policies include the membership and establishment of international organizations, international projects such as the revival of the Silk Road, investment and lending. According to the analyzes in the framework of the constructivist theory, it should be said that in the eyes of the United States, a peaceful uprising does not remove the accusation of a serious threat to this country as a revisionist country. Based on this point of view, the United States has been convinced that it should take practical measures in order to contain China

Surah Al-Maedah, which is also known as Al-Muqad and Al-Munqad, is the fifth Surah of the Holy Qur'an in the current order of the Qur'an. This Surah has 120 verses, two thousand eight hundred and four (2806) words and eleven thousand seven hundred and thirty three (11733) letters, and except for the third verse which was revealed in Hajj al-Wada, the rest of the verses were revealed in Madinah. The purpose of this research is the political components of Islamic rulers in Surah Ma'idah. Islamic rulers are those who have the ability to influence others and can impose their will on them. If such people are considered in political-social life, they are placed in a ruling position and exercise power. And the most important question that must be answered in this research is who is the agent of power or the Islamic ruler from the point of view of Surah Ma'idah and what characteristics should he be adorned with. Therefore, according to the verses of Surah Ma'idah, it became clear that all existence and everything in it is the property of God and is under His control

The decline in the United States began when the United States sought to secure US national interests in a unipolar system and to eliminate the bipolar system by upsetting the balance of power in the world. This study seeks to answer this question if there has been a decline in American hegemony and what are the characteristics of this decline?Using descriptive-analytical method, this study seeks to answer these questions: first, what is the exact meaning and nature of the decline of American hegemony and why and how did this decline occur? Secondly, how would it be be the situation of the world system during the decline of American hegemony? The main hypothesis of this study is that the decline of United States began after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the world system quickly descended from a unipolar to a multipolar world. Although this research is based on the theories of Fukuyama and Huntington, but the theories of other Western thinkers have also been used to answer the questions of this article.

Sanctions are one of the foreign policy tools of states to change the behavior of other states and pursue their national interests. The United States is one of the countries that has used the most sanctions against other states. The purpose of the present study is to measure the impact of sanctions on Iranians after the withdrawal of the United States from the JCPOA. The main question of the research is, what effect did sanctions have on the public health of Iranian citizens during the period of 2018 to 2022? The hypothesis of the research indicates that sanctions severely affect public health and its components. Quantitative methods and questionnaire tools were used to evaluate the article's hypothesis. The statistical sample of the research was made up of 400 citizens living in Yasouj city (stratified-random method) and two samples mean test, regression, Pearson correlation coefficient, and... were used to analyze the data. The findings of the research show that there is a significant relationship between the US sanctions and the public health of the Yasouj citizens. Also, the results showed that there are no significant differences in variables such as age, gender, and marital status between men and women.

Transparency, as one of the new concepts in the last century, has attracted the attention of many scientists as one of the indicators of good governance. In Islamic researches, there have been many researches about matching the characteristics of good governance with Islamic thought. This research with the topic of "the place of transparency in good governance in Alevi thought" examines and applies the component of transparency in the governance and thought of Imam Ali (a.s.). This research has put Nahj al-Balagha as the basis for the study of Alawite thought and aims to answer the question of what place transparency has in Alawite thought and governance. For this research, thematic analysis method has been used as one of the most widely used data analysis methods. After studying and investigating, transparency in Alevi thought was divided into two sections: "The content of transparency in Alevi thought and governance" and "Necessities of transparency in Alevi thought and governance" and the results of the research show that in Alevi thought and governance Transparency has been at the highest possible levels and it has been explicitly mentioned.

Generally individuals' history of political thought can be searched in texts representing these ideologies. But for politicians, performance and policy positions they have, will be considered in addition to their written works. On the other hand, the viewpoint towards the norms governing international scenes and paradigms to separate governments (outside aspect of governments) and categorizing individuals in international scenes (subordination) can be informative in their special viewpoints toward international norms. The question that arises here is whether in Imam Khomeini's terms the norms governing the international scene are acceptable in absolute terms? If the answer is a negative one another question arises that what criteria exist for acceptance or not acceptance of these norms? It is clear that all countries based of their national interests and power, set restrictions to these rules. In Imam Khomeini's viewpoint another important index is added to these criteria, and that is the congruence of these norms with fixed principles of Islam. It seems that by benchmarking them, he challenges part of the principles of international law which is just on the basis of western thinking.